Quant thesis: When combined search interest in unemployment + layoff terms spikes >40% above 52-week baseline in a single week, consumer anxiety peaks. Historical lead to risk-off rotation. Unemployment search spikes precede consumer spending weakness; discretionary retailers face demand headwinds 2–4 weeks later.
Plain English: When combined search interest in unemployment + layoff terms spikes >40% above 52-week baseline in a single week, consumer anxiety peaks. Historical lead to risk-off rotation. Unemployment search spikes precede consumer spending weakness; discretionary retailers face demand headwinds 2–4 weeks later.
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When combined search interest in unemployment + layoff terms spikes >40% above 52-week baseline in a single week, consumer anxiety peaks. Historical lead to risk-off rotation. Unemployment search spikes precede consumer spending weakness; discretionary retailers face demand headwinds 2–4 weeks later.
When combined search interest in unemployment + layoff terms spikes >40% above 52-week baseline in a single week, consumer anxiety peaks. Historical lead to risk-off rotation. Unemployment search spikes precede consumer spending weakness; discretionary retailers face demand headwinds 2–4 weeks later.
When combined search interest in unemployment + layoff terms spikes >40% above 52-week baseline in a single week, consumer anxiety peaks. Historical lead to risk-off rotation. Unemployment search spikes precede consumer spending weakness; discretionary retailers face demand headwinds 2–4 weeks later.
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